Real Estate Investment: Return on Investment and Cash Flow Calculation

For release:
Monday, July 27, 2009

C.A.R. reports June home sales increased 20.1 percent, median home price declined 26.4 percent

Multimedia:
· Click here to view Unsold Inventory by price point

Quick Facts:
· Existing, single-family home sales increased 20.1 percent in June to a seasonally adjusted rate of
  514,110 on an annualized basis.
· The statewide median price of an existing single-family home increased 4.2 percent in June to
   $274,740, compared with May 2009.
· C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index fell to 4.1 months in June, compared with 7.6 months in June 2008.

LOS ANGELES (July 27) – Home sales increased 20.1 percent in June in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home declined 26.4 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.

“Many first-time buyers, especially those who were previously priced out of certain areas, are realizing that tax credits from both the state and federal governments, increased affordability, and low interest rates are creating a prime time to purchase a home,” said C.A.R. President James Liptak. “June marked the 10th consecutive month of positive sales gains, and the fourth month of rising median home prices.

“The statewide median price for existing condos increased for the third consecutive month in June, while sales climbed 27 percent compared with last year,” Liptak said. “Both of these trends are indicative of increased interest in condos on the part of first-time and other buyers.”

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled 514,110 in June at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations statewide. Statewide home resale activity increased 20.1 percent from the revised 427,910 sales pace recorded in June 2008. Sales in June 2009 decreased 6 percent compared with the previous month.

The statewide sales figure represents what the total number of homes sold during 2009 would be if sales maintained the June pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The median price of an existing, single-family detached home in California during June 2009 was $274,740, a 26.4 percent decrease from the revised $373,100 median for June 2008, C.A.R. reported. The June 2009 median price rose 4.2 percent compared with May’s $263,600 median price.

“Shrinking inventory in the lower end of the market is impacting prices, as many distressed properties are receiving multiple bids,” said C.A.R. Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “The year-to-year price declines are diminishing, and are at the lowest level since March 2008.

“Although another surge of foreclosures is expected later this year, demand remains strong, so the market may be able to absorb more distressed properties without significantly impacting the median price,” said Appleton-Young.

Highlights of C.A.R.’s resale housing figures for June 2009:

. C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index for existing, single-family detached homes in June 2009 was 4.1 months, compared with 7.6 months (revised) for the same period a year ago. The index indicates the number of months needed to deplete the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate.

. Thirty-year fixed-mortgage interest rates averaged 5.42 percent during June 2009, compared with 6.32 percent in June 2008, according to Freddie Mac. Adjustable-mortgage interest rates averaged 4.93 percent in June 2009, compared with 5.15 percent in June 2008.

. The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home was 44.3 days in June 2009, compared with 49 days (revised) for the same period a year ago.

Regional MLS sales and price information are contained in the tables that accompany this press release. Regional sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales. The MLS median price and sales data for detached homes are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state. MLS median price and sales data for condominiums are based on a survey of more than 60 associations. The median price for both detached homes and condominiums represents closed escrow sales.

In a separate report covering more localized statistics generated by C.A.R. and DataQuick Information Systems, 20 of the 376 cities and communities reporting showed an increase in their respective median home prices from a year ago. DataQuick statistics are based on county records data rather than MLS information. DataQuick Information Systems is a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates. (The lists are generated for incorporated cities with a minimum of 30 recorded sales in the month.)

Note: Large changes in local median home prices typically indicate both local home price appreciation, and often, large shifts in the composition of housing market activity. Some of the variations in median home prices for June may be exaggerated due to compositional changes in housing demand. The DataQuick tables listing median home prices in California cities and counties are accessible through C.A.R. Online at
http://car.org/economics/historicalprices/2009medianprices/jun09medianprices

. Statewide, the 10 cities with the highest median home prices in California during June 2009 were: Beverly Hills, $1,775,000; Manhattan Beach, $1,475,000; Burlingame, $1,475,000; Los Altos, $1,398,000; Saratoga, $1,375,000; Laguna Beach, $1,265,000; Palo Alto, $1,192,000; Santa Monica, $1,022,000; Cupertino, $1,020,000; Mill Valley, $1,009,000; and Los Gatos, $857,500.

. Statewide, the cities with the greatest median home price increases in June 2009 compared with the same period a year ago were: Laguna Hills, 20.6 percent; Diamond Bar, 6.2 percent; Santa Monica, 5.9 percent; Upland, 5.7 percent; Thousand Oaks, 4.7 percent; Placentia, 2.9 percent; Big Bear Lake, 2.5 percent; Lake Forest, 2.4 percent; Walnut, 2.1 percent; and Dana Point, 1.4 percent.

Note: Statewide median home prices and sales data have been revised for April 2008 to May 2009 to reflect updates to San Diego Region data.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with more than 163,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

June 2009 Regional Sales and Price Activity*
Regional and Condo Sales Data Not Seasonally Adjusted

na – not available

* Based on closed escrow sales of single‑family, detached homes only (no condos).  Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as measuring changes in the cost of a standard home.  Prices are influenced by changes in cost and changes in the characteristics and size of homes actually sold.

 sf = single‑family, detached home

Source:  CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® 

Median Prices By Region – Current Month vs. Year Ago

r – revised

Source: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®